Compare strategies
The same selections, four bankrolls
Each staking plan starts from its own independent €1,000 bankroll and processes identical selections in chronological order.
Horizontal axis: settled selections. Each line starts from an independent €1,000 bankroll and processes the same demonstration selections in chronological order.
Fixed Stake
The same cash amount on every selection, regardless of confidence.
- Final bankroll
- €1,412
- Net after cost
- +€412
- ROI
- 3.9%
- Max drawdown
- 12.4%
Percentage Bankroll
A constant share of the current bankroll, so stakes shrink after losses.
- Final bankroll
- €1,486
- Net after cost
- +€486
- ROI
- 4.4%
- Max drawdown
- 10.1%
Fractional Kelly
A fraction of the theoretical optimum, sized from calibration-period edge.
- Final bankroll
- €1,723
- Net after cost
- +€723
- ROI
- 6.1%
- Max drawdown
- 19.7%
Capped Recovery
Measured increases after losses, with a hard ceiling on exposure.
- Final bankroll
- €1,194
- Net after cost
- +€194
- ROI
- 1.7%
- Max drawdown
- 31.5%
Fractional Kelly stakes are sized only from information available before each selection, using an earlier calibration window. Later results never influence an earlier stake.